Max Rady College of Medicine

Orthopedic and Ophthalmology Surgical Projection Models

Katz A, Taylor C, Ekuma O, Bowes JM, Soodeen RA, Owczar H. Winnipeg MB: Manitoba Centre for Health Policy, 2022.

The Manitoba health care system has faced long wait times for orthopedic and ophthalmological surgical procedures. Wait times for surgeries are considered a significant barrier to accessing health care and can have negative health impacts for patients. Recently, the Government of Manitoba identified reducing surgical wait times as a key health care priority. In this study, we explored the delivery of orthopedic and ophthalmology surgical procedures between April 2004 and March 2020 in relation to population demographics. Using this data, we developed models to project surgical procedure demands up to 2027. We found that orthopedic procedures are expected to increase by 18.8% from 2020 to 2027, with growth resulting from a projected 40% increase in clinic-based procedures. Additionally, the number of ophthalmology procedures is also expected to increase as models projected a 67.6% rise from 2020 to 2027.

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Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Community Health Sciences, Max Rady College of Medicine,
Rady Faculty of Health Sciences,
Room 408-727 McDermot Ave.
University of Manitoba
Winnipeg, MB R3E 3P5 Canada

204-789-3819