Term: Continuing Trends Projection

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Glossary Definition

Last Updated: 2012-10-04

Definition:

A regression-based projection of PCH bed equivalents that assumes that recent PCH use rates will continue a period of time into the future. In this study, trends in PCH use rates over the past 25 years were projected forward in time using regression formulas. These regression models considered both linear trends (straight line) and curvilinear trends (decreasing change over time). The continuing trends projection combined these age/sex projected PCH use rates with the age/sex specific population projections for each RHA.

References 

• Chateau D, Doupe M, Walld R, Soodeen R, Ouelette C, Rajotte L. Projecting Personal Care Home Bed Equivalent Needs in Manitoba Through 2036. Manitoba Centre for Health Policy, 2012. [Report] [Summary] [Updates and Errata] (View)