Max Rady College of Medicine

Concept: Population Estimates and Comparison of Data Sources

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Concept Description

Last Updated: 2009-09-01

Introduction

    The following tables represent population estimates for the province of Manitoba by age and gender, for the specific dates presented.

    The data sources include:
    • Manitoba Health Services Commission (MHSC) Annual Statistics reports,
    • Manitoba Health (MH) Registration snapshots (June and December),
    • the Manitoba Centre for Health Policy Research Registry (MCHP RR) and
    • Statistics Canada Canadian Census.

    NOTE: Columns with percentages report the % the data source is larger than the Census.

Table 1: 1986 Population Estimates (All as of June 1, 1986)

    Age group Source Male % Male Female % Female Overall % Overall
    0-14 MHSC 86-87
    MH Dec-86
    MCHP RR
    Census
    128756
    128005
    125924
    120500
    6.9
    6.2
    4.5
    .
    121954
    121367
    119517
    114500
    6.5
    6.0
    4.4
    .
    250710
    249372
    245441
    235000
    6.7
    6.1
    4.4
    .
    15-24 MHSC 86-87
    MH Dec-86
    MCHP RR
    Census
    95515
    95237
    88107
    88750
    7.6
    7.3
    -0.7
    .
    93762
    93650
    86245
    86965
    7.8
    7.7
    -0.8
    .
    189277
    188887
    174352
    175715
    7.7
    7.5
    -0.8
    .
    25-34 MHSC 86-87
    MH Dec-86
    MCHP RR
    Census
    97985
    97756
    96240
    90070
    8.8
    8.5
    6.8
    .
    95899
    95742
    94202
    90200
    6.3
    6.1
    4.4
    .
    193884
    193498
    190442
    180270
    7.6
    7.3
    5.6
    .
    35-44 MHSC 86-87
    MH Dec-86
    MCHP RR
    Census
    73240
    73232
    72575
    69215
    5.8
    5.8
    4.8
    .
    72028
    72042
    71025
    69355
    3.9
    3.9
    2.4
    .
    145268
    145274
    143600
    138370
    5.0
    5.0
    3.8
    .
    45-54 MHSC 86-87
    MH Dec-86
    MCHP RR
    Census
    51273
    51182
    50813
    48865
    4.9
    4.7
    4.0
    .
    50700
    50636
    50130
    48910
    3.7
    3.5
    2.5
    .
    101973
    101818
    100943
    97775
    4.3
    4.1
    3.2
    .
    55-64 MHSC 86-87
    MH Dec-86
    MCHP RR
    Census
    47565
    47631
    47284
    46130
    3.1
    3.3
    2.5
    .
    51919
    51998
    51748
    50830
    2.1
    2.3
    1.8
    .
    99484
    99629
    99032
    96960
    2.6
    2.8
    2.1
    .
    65+ MHSC 86-87
    MH Dec-86
    MCHP RR
    Census
    57825
    58136
    57692
    54110
    6.9
    7.4
    6.6
    .
    77164
    77521
    77280
    70235
    9.9
    10.4
    10.0
    .
    134989
    135657
    134972
    124345
    8.7
    9.1
    8.5
    .
    Total MHSC 86-87
    MH Dec-86
    MCHP RR
    Census
    552159
    551179
    538635
    517600
    6.7
    6.5
    4.1
    .
    563426
    562956
    550147
    530785
    6.1
    6.1
    3.6
    .
    1115585
    1114135
    1088782
    1048125
    6.4
    6.3
    3.9
    .


    Note:

    • MHSC 86-87 data is available in the Annual Statistics (April 1, 1986 - March 31, 1987), they are the published Manitoba Health Services Commission records of registered persons as of June 1, 1986
    • MH Dec-86 is the December 1986 MH registration snapshot for persons having coverage as of June 1, 1986 (Note: for 1986, the JUNE snapshot is not available at MCHP)
    • MCHP RR is the MCHP 1997 Research Registry for persons covered as of June 1, 1986
    • Census is the corresponding Canadian Census in 1986 as provided by the CARLS Consortium tapes at MCHP

    • Percentages are given as % larger than Census

Table 2: 1991 Population Estimates (All as of June 1, 1991)

    Age group Source Male % Male Female % Female Overall % Overall
    0-14 MHSC 91-92
    MH Jun-91
    MH Dec-91
    MCHP RR
    Census
    128055
    128235
    127984
    127159
    122410
    4.6
    4.8
    4.6
    3.9
    .
    121875
    122037
    121784
    120995
    116345
    4.8
    4.8
    4.7
    3.9
    .
    249930
    250272
    249768
    248154
    238755
    4.7
    4.8
    4.6
    3.9
    .
    15-24 MHSC 91-92
    MH Jun-91
    MH Dec-91
    MCHP RR
    Census
    84915
    85177
    84517
    83670
    81095
    4.7
    5.0
    4.2
    3.2
    .
    82133
    82334
    81722
    80885
    77635
    5.8
    6.0
    5.3
    4.2
    .
    167048
    167511
    166239
    164555
    158730
    5.2
    5.5
    4.7
    3.7
    .
    25-34 MHSC 91-92
    MH Jun-91
    MH Dec-91
    MCHP RR
    Census
    98500
    99524
    98386
    97684
    91860
    7.2
    8.3
    7.1
    6.3
    .
    96607
    97663
    96664
    95824
    90920
    6.3
    7.4
    6.3
    5.4
    .
    195107
    197187
    195050
    193508
    182780
    6.7
    7.9
    6.7
    5.7
    .
    35-44 MHSC 91-92
    MH Jun-91
    MH Dec-91
    MCHP RR
    Census
    84638
    85207
    84588
    84149
    80835
    4.7
    5.4
    4.6
    4.1
    .
    84026
    84311
    83808
    83146
    81090
    3.6
    4.0
    3.4
    2.5
    .
    168664
    169518
    168396
    167295
    161925
    4.2
    4.7
    4.0
    3.3
    .
    45-54 MHSC 91-92
    MH Jun-91
    MH Dec-91
    MCHP RR
    Census
    55801
    56150
    55909
    55767
    54380
    2.6
    3.3
    2.8
    2.5
    .
    55448
    55715
    55543
    55201
    54080
    2.5
    3.0
    2.7
    2.1
    .
    111249
    111865
    111452
    110968
    108460
    2.6
    3.1
    2.8
    2.3
    .
    55-64 MHSC 91-92
    MH Jun-91
    MH Dec-91
    MCHP RR
    Census
    46029
    46191
    46034
    45803
    44955
    2.4
    2.7
    2.4
    1.9
    .
    47718
    47860
    47709
    47559
    46760
    2.0
    2.4
    2.0
    1.7
    .
    93747
    94051
    93743
    93362
    91715
    2.2
    2.5
    2.2
    1.8
    .
    65+ MHSC 91-92
    MH Jun-91
    MH Dec-91
    MCHP RR
    Census
    61844
    62370
    62133
    61627
    61575
    0.4
    1.3
    0.9
    0.1
    .
    85528
    86114
    85828
    85690
    84840
    0.8
    1.5
    1.2
    1.0
    .
    147372
    148484
    147961
    147317
    146415
    0.7
    1.4
    1.1
    0.6
    .
    Total MHSC 91-92
    MH Jun-91
    MH Dec-91
    MCHP RR
    Census
    559782
    562854
    559551
    555929
    536910
    4.3
    4.8
    4.2
    3.5
    .
    573335
    576034
    573058
    569300
    551930
    3.9
    4.4
    3.8
    3.2
    .
    1133117
    1138888
    1132609
    1125229
    1088840
    4.1
    4.6
    4.0
    3.4
    .


    Note:

    • MHSC 91-92 data is available in the Annual Statistics (April 1, 1991 - March 31, 1992), they are the published Manitoba Health Services Commission records of registered persons as of June 1, 1991
    • MH Jun-91 is the June 1991 MH registration snapshot for persons having coverage as of June 1, 1991
    • MH Dec-91 is the December 1991 MH registration snapshot for persons having coverage as of June 1, 1991
    • MCHP RR is the MCHP 1997 Research Registry for persons covered as of June 1, 1991
    • Census is the corresponding Canadian Census in 1991 as provided by the CARLS Consortium tapes at MCHP

    • Percentages are given as % larger than Census

Table 3: 1996 Population Estimates (All as of June 1, 1996)

    Age group Source Male % Male Female % Female Overall % Overall
    0-14 MHSC 96-97
    MH Jun-96
    MH Dec-96
    MCHP RR
    Census
    128000
    127591
    127821
    127659
    125360
    2.1
    1.8
    2.0
    1.8
    .
    121768
    121396
    121577
    121467
    119250
    2.1
    1.8
    2.0
    1.9
    .
    249768
    248987
    249398
    249126
    244610
    2.1
    1.8
    2.0
    1.8
    .
    15-24 MHSC 96-97
    MH Jun-96
    MH Dec-96
    MCHP RR
    Census
    80544
    80471
    80161
    79584
    78100
    3.1
    3.0
    2.6
    1.9
    .
    77724
    77720
    77411
    77021
    75680
    2.7
    2.7
    2.3
    1.8
    .
    158268
    158191
    157572
    156605
    153780
    2.9
    2.9
    2.5
    1.8
    .
    25-34 MHSC 96-97
    MH Jun-96
    MH Dec-96
    MCHP RR
    Census
    86540
    86842
    86368
    85749
    82105
    5.4
    5.8
    5.2
    4.4
    .
    86417
    86842
    86341
    85970
    82465
    4.8
    5.3
    4.7
    4.3
    .
    172957
    173684
    172709
    171719
    164570
    5.1
    5.5
    4.9
    4.3
    .
    35-44 MHSC 96-97
    MH Jun-96
    MH Dec-96
    MCHP RR
    Census
    90719
    90778
    90532
    89969
    87450
    3.7
    3.8
    3.5
    2.9
    .
    90063
    90151
    89857
    89348
    87800
    2.6
    2.7
    2.3
    1.8
    .
    180782
    180920
    180389
    179317
    175250
    3.2
    3.2
    2.9
    2.3
    .
    45-54 MHSC 96-97
    MH Jun-96
    MH Dec-96
    MCHP RR
    Census
    67950
    68148
    67989
    67769
    66260
    2.6
    2.8
    2.6
    2.3
    .
    67835
    67998
    67853
    67656
    66465
    2.1
    2.3
    2.1
    1.8
    .
    135785
    136146
    135842
    135425
    132725
    2.3
    2.6
    2.3
    2.0
    .
    55-64 MHSC 96-97
    MH Jun-96
    MH Dec-96
    MCHP RR
    Census
    45837
    45973
    45864
    45746
    44720
    2.5
    2.8
    2.6
    2.3
    .
    46926
    47016
    46932
    46818
    46055
    1.9
    2.1
    1.9
    1.7
    .
    92763
    92989
    92796
    92564
    90775
    2.2
    2.4
    2.2
    2.0
    .
    65+ MHSC 96-97
    MH Jun-96
    MH Dec-96
    MCHP RR
    Census
    64605
    65183
    64856
    64582
    63540
    1.7
    2.6
    2.1
    1.6
    .
    89715
    90257
    89969
    89864
    88625
    1.2
    1.8
    1.5
    1.4
    .
    154320
    155440
    154815
    154446
    152165
    1.4
    2.2
    1.7
    1.5
    .
    Total MHSC 96-97
    MH Jun-96
    MH Dec-96
    MCHP RR
    Census
    564195
    564986
    563856
    561058
    547535
    3.0
    3.2
    3.0
    2.5
    .
    580448
    581380
    579930
    578144
    566365
    2.5
    2.7
    2.4
    2.1
    .
    1144643
    1146366
    1143521
    1139202
    1113898
    2.8
    2.9
    2.7
    2.3
    .


    Note:

    • MHSC 96-97 data is available in the Annual Statistics (April 1, 1996 - March 31, 1997), they are the published Manitoba Health Services Commission records of registered persons as of June 1, 1996
    • MH Jun-96 is the June 1996 MH registration snapshot for persons having coverage as of June 1, 1996
    • MH Dec-96 is the December 1996 MH registration snapshot for persons having coverage as of June 1, 1996
    • MCHP RR is the MCHP 1997 Research Registry for persons covered as of June 1, 1996
    • Census is the corresponding Canadian Census in 1996 from the Data Liberation datasets at MCHP

    • Percentages are given as % larger than Census

Table 4: 2001 Population Estimates (All as of June 1, 2001)

    Age group Source Male % Male Female % Female Overall % Overall
    0-14 MHSC 01-02
    MH Jun-01
    MH Dec-01
    MCHP RR
    Census
    123157
    123108
    123140
    123440
    119715
    2.9
    2.8
    2.9
    3.1
    .
    117174
    117104
    117135
    117515
    114000
    2.8
    2.7
    2.8
    3.1
    .
    240331
    240212
    240275
    240955
    233715
    2.8
    2.8
    2.8
    3.1
    .
    15-24 MHSC 01-02
    MH Jun-01
    MH Dec-01
    MCHP RR
    Census
    80467
    80924
    80468
    81479
    77655
    3.6
    4.2
    3.6
    4.9
    .
    77903
    78151
    77840
    78242
    75615
    3.0
    3.4
    2.9
    3.5
    .
    158370
    159075
    158308
    159721
    153270
    3.3
    3.8
    3.3
    4.2
    .
    25-34 MHSC 01-02
    MH Jun-01
    MH Dec-01
    MCHP RR
    Census
    76285
    76608
    76097
    77670
    71370
    6.9
    7.3
    6.6
    8.8
    .
    76132
    76486
    76017
    76595
    71805
    6.0
    6.5
    5.9
    6.7
    .
    152417
    153094
    152114
    154265
    143175
    6.5
    6.9
    6.2
    7.7
    .
    35-44 MHSC 01-02
    MH Jun-01
    MH Dec-01
    MCHP RR
    Census
    92030
    92500
    92132
    93117
    88190
    4.4
    4.9
    4.5
    5.6
    .
    91535
    91892
    91620
    91841
    88940
    2.9
    3.3
    3.0
    3.3
    .
    183565
    184392
    183752
    184958
    177130
    3.6
    4.1
    3.7
    4.4
    .
    45-54 MHSC 01-02
    MH Jun-01
    MH Dec-01
    MCHP RR
    Census
    79368
    79163
    78978
    79830
    77255
    2.7
    2.5
    2.2
    3.3
    .
    79780
    79583
    79437
    79867
    78455
    1.7
    1.4
    1.3
    1.8
    .
    159148
    158746
    158415
    159697
    155710
    2.2
    1.9
    1.7
    2.6
    .
    55-64 MHSC 01-02
    MH Jun-01
    MH Dec-01
    MCHP RR
    Census
    50451
    50879
    50791
    50728
    49415
    2.1
    3.0
    2.8
    2.7
    .
    51412
    51818
    51731
    51598
    50745
    1.3
    2.1
    1.9
    1.7
    .
    101863
    102697
    102522
    102326
    100160
    1.7
    2.5
    2.4
    2.2
    .
    65+ MHSC 01-02
    MH Jun-01
    MH Dec-01
    MCHP RR
    Census
    66406
    66570
    66390
    66317
    66010
    0.6
    0.8
    0.6
    0.5
    .
    90882
    91023
    90851
    90795
    90410
    0.5
    0.7
    0.5
    0.4
    .
    157288
    157593
    157241
    157112
    156420
    0.6
    0.7
    0.5
    0.4
    .
    Total MHSC 01-02
    MH Jun-01
    MH Dec-01
    MCHP RR
    Census
    568164
    569752
    567996
    572581
    549600
    3.4
    3.7
    3.3
    4.2
    .
    584818
    586057
    584631
    586453
    569980
    2.6
    2.8
    2.6
    2.9
    .
    1152982
    1155809
    1152627
    1159034
    1119583
    3.0
    3.2
    3.0
    3.5
    .


    Note:

    • MHSC 01-02 data is available in the Annual Statistics (April 1, 2001 - March 31, 2002), they are the published Manitoba Health Services Commission records of registered persons as of June 1, 2001
    • MH Jun-01 is the June 2001 MH registration snapshot for persons having coverage as of June 1, 2001
    • MH Dec-01 is the December 2001 MH registration snapshot for persons having coverage as of June 1, 2001
    • MCHP RR is the MCHP 2008 Research Registry for persons covered as of June 1, 2001
    • Census is the corresponding Canadian Census in 2001 from the Data Liberation datasets at MCHP

    • Percentages are given as % larger than Census

Table 5: 2006 Population Estimates (All as of June 1, 2006)

    Age group Source Male % Male Female % Female Overall % Overall
    0-14 MHSC 06-07
    MH Jun-06
    MH Dec-06
    MCHP RR
    Census
    118395
    117889
    118243
    118545
    115570
    2.4
    2.0
    2.3
    2.6
    .
    112701
    112216
    112560
    112801
    109605
    2.8
    2.4
    2.7
    2.9
    .
    231096
    230105
    230803
    231346
    225175
    2.6
    2.2
    2.5
    2.7
    .
    15-24 MHSC 06-07
    MH Jun-06
    MH Dec-06
    MCHP RR
    Census
    84369
    84686
    84257
    85134
    81730
    3.2
    3.6
    3.1
    4.2
    .
    81942
    82110
    81780
    82222
    79845
    2.6
    2.8
    2.4
    3.0
    .
    166311
    166796
    166037
    167356
    161575
    2.9
    3.2
    2.8
    3.6
    .
    25-34 MHSC 06-07
    MH Jun-06
    MH Dec-06
    MCHP RR
    Census
    75362
    75552
    75168
    76687
    69695
    8.1
    8.4
    7.9
    10.0
    .
    75832
    75961
    75662
    76078
    71275
    6.4
    6.6
    6.2
    6.7
    .
    151194
    151513
    150830
    152765
    140970
    7.3
    7.5
    7.0
    8.4
    .
    35-44 MHSC 06-07
    MH Jun-06
    MH Dec-06
    MCHP RR
    Census
    84145
    84230
    83981
    85007
    79870
    5.4
    5.5
    5.1
    6.4
    .
    84608
    84782
    84515
    84799
    81870
    3.3
    3.6
    3.2
    3.6
    .
    168753
    169012
    168496
    169806
    161740
    4.3
    4.5
    4.2
    5.0
    .
    45-54 MHSC 06-07
    MH Jun-06
    MH Dec-06
    MCHP RR
    Census
    87545
    87616
    87445
    88010
    85350
    2.6
    2.7
    2.5
    3.1
    .
    86977
    87023
    86890
    87102
    86225
    0.9
    0.9
    0.8
    1.0
    .
    174522
    174639
    174335
    175112
    171575
    1.7
    1.8
    1.6
    2.1
    .
    55-64 MHSC 06-07
    MH Jun-06
    MH Dec-06
    MCHP RR
    Census
    62354
    62489
    62332
    62547
    61810
    0.9
    1.1
    0.8
    1.2
    .
    63500
    63570
    63460
    63565
    63665
    -0.3
    -0.1
    -0.3
    -0.2
    .
    125854
    126059
    125792
    126112
    125475
    0.3
    0.5
    0.3
    0.5
    .
    65+ MHSC 06-07
    MH Jun-06
    MH Dec-06
    MCHP RR
    Census
    68819
    69250
    68861
    68862
    69250
    -0.6
    0.0
    -0.6
    -0.6
    .
    91908
    92374
    91950
    91932
    92625
    -0.8
    -0.3
    -0.7
    -0.7
    .
    160727
    161624
    160811
    160794
    161875
    -0.7
    -0.2
    -0.7
    -0.7
    .
    Total MHSC 06-07
    MH Jun-06
    MH Dec-06
    MCHP RR
    Census
    580989
    581712
    580287
    584792
    563275
    3.1
    3.3
    3.0
    3.8
    .
    597468
    598036
    596817
    598499
    585125
    2.1
    2.2
    2.0
    2.3
    .
    1178457
    1179748
    1177104
    1183291
    1148400
    2.6
    2.7
    2.5
    3.0
    .


    Note:

    • MHSC 06-07 data is available in the Annual Statistics (April 1, 2006 - March 31, 2007), they are the published Manitoba Health Services Commission records of registered persons as of June 1, 2006
    • MH Jun-06 is the June 2006 MH registration snapshot for persons having coverage as of June 1, 2006
    • MH Dec-06 is the December 2006 MH registration snapshot for persons having coverage as of June 1, 2006
    • MCHP RR is the MCHP 2008 Research Registry for persons covered as of June 1, 2006
    • Census is the corresponding Canadian Census in 2006 from the Data Liberation datasets at MCHP

    • Percentages are given as % larger than Census

Table 6: 0-14 Age Group Population Estimates - Comparison By Census Years - 1986 to 2006

    Year Gender RR Census % Difference
    1986 Male
    Female
    Overall
    125924
    119517
    245441
    120500
    114500
    235000
    4.5
    4.4
    4.4
    1991 Male
    Female
    Overall
    127159
    120995
    248154
    122410
    116345
    238755
    3.9
    3.9
    3.9
    1996 Male
    Female
    Overall
    127659
    121467
    249126
    125360
    119250
    244610
    1.8
    1.9
    1.8
    2001 Male
    Female
    Overall
    123440
    117515
    240955
    119715
    114000
    233715
    3.1
    3.1
    3.1
    2006 Male
    Female
    Overall
    118545
    112801
    231346
    115570
    109605
    225175
    2.6
    2.9
    2.7

Table 7: Total Population Estimates - Comparison By Census Years - 1986 to 2006

    Year Gender RR Census % Difference
    1986 Male
    Female
    Overall
    538635
    550147
    1088782
    517600
    530785
    1048125
    4.1
    3.6
    3.9
    1991 Male
    Female
    Overall
    555929
    569300
    1125229
    536910
    551930
    1088840
    3.5
    3.2
    3.4
    1996 Male
    Female
    Overall
    561058
    578144
    1139202
    547535
    566365
    1113898
    2.5
    2.1
    2.3
    2001 Male
    Female
    Overall
    572581
    586453
    1159034
    549600
    569980
    1119583
    4.2
    2.9
    3.5
    2006 Male
    Female
    Overall
    584792
    598499
    1183291
    563275
    585125
    1148400
    3.8
    2.3
    3.0

Limitations

  • 1986 falls within the two year limit for "Cannot Locate" following the revisions to registrations and PHIN in 1984/01 - we expect some cases were believed absent but the dates of coverage extended to June, 1986.

  • 1996 falls AFTER a major mailing related to the Drug Program Information Network (DPIN) system and the release of personal PHINs to the public. We expect the registries to be reasonably accurate (for a short time) but some of the "cannot locate group" and other non-resident registrants will persist and show coverage on June 1, 1996.

  • It is difficult to present residence areas from both registries and census in a single table - the discrepancies in coding disguise or exaggerate apparent discrepancies in N.

Comparisons

    Each MH registration snapshot for persons having coverage is limited in accuracy due to underreporting of newborns, exclusions of new arrivals in MB and cancellations between March and June. Overall, expect a net over-counting due to timing of these files. Due to the application of all available information including retroactive cancellations, deaths in institutions, cross-references among registries, and inclusion of personal care data, the results from the research registry are expected to be better than either snapshot.

Related concepts 

Related terms 

References 

  • Roos LL, Nicol JP. A research registry: uses, development, and accuracy. J Clin Epidemiol 1999;52(1):39-47. [Abstract] (View)
  • Roos LL, Mustard CA, Nicol JP, McLerran DF, Malenka DJ, Young TK, Cohen MM. Registries and administrative data: organization and accuracy. Med Care 1993;31(3):201-212. [Abstract] (View)

Keywords 

  • methods
  • population


Contact us

Manitoba Centre for Health Policy
Community Health Sciences, Max Rady College of Medicine,
Rady Faculty of Health Sciences,
Room 408-727 McDermot Ave.
University of Manitoba
Winnipeg, MB R3E 3P5 Canada

204-789-3819