Concept: Factors Affecting Emergency Department (ED) Waiting Room Times

Concept Description

Last Updated: 2018-05-07

Introduction

Data Sources

Analysis of Input, Throughput and Output Factors Affecting ED Wait Times

1. Comparing Input, Throughput and Output Factors Across Winnipeg ED Sites

1.1 - Input Factors

    Input factors characterize the number of incoming ED patients by demographic and medical characteristics, including:

    • Patient Demographic Factors: age, income quintile , and Winnipeg Community Areas (CAs).
    • Arrival Status: similar to the ADT and E-Triage systems, each ED visit is denoted by ED site, date and time, and arrival status. Also similar to ADT, arrival status can be coded as "ambulance" (using ambulance identification numbers) versus "else" (all other types of arrival combined). Arrival status data is entered in EDIS as free text, and thus standard additional arrival status options (e.g., police escort) are not available.
    • CTAS Code: the Canadian Emergency Department Triage & Acuity Scale (CTAS) is part of EDIS, and has been used "pre-EDIS" in Winnipeg since 2004/05. CTAS relies on a standard set of questions asked at the time of triage to help ensure CTAS levels are comparable across ED sites. Based in part on patient responses, the CTAS program allocates patients into one of five categories according to urgency of need: Resuscitation (Level I), Emergent (Level II), Urgent (Level III), Less Urgent (Level IV), or Non Urgent (Level V).
    • Chief Complaint: During triage, each patient is classified into one of 17 chief complaint categories. In the Doupe et al. (2017) analysis, some of these categories were combined, while some were grouped as "other" due to small numbers. This resulted in the following 13 categories: Cardiovascular, ENT (ear; nose; throat/mouth/neck), Genitourinary, Gastrointestinal, Mental Health, Neurologic, Obstetrical/Gynecological, Orthopedic, Respiratory, Skin, Substance Misuse, Trauma, and Other (e.g., abdominal pain, cough, eye pain, general and minor issues, headache).

1.2 - Throughput Factors

    Throughput factors relate to factors preceding hospital admission, including the number and type of diagnostic procedures performed and medical providers involved in the patient's ED episode.

    • Diagnostic tests (number and type): those captured in EDIS and examined by Doupe et al. (2017) include x-rays, urine tests, ultrasound tests, nuclear medicine tests, computed tomography (CT) scans, cerebral spinal fluid tests, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), cardiovascular tests (consisting mainly of angioplasty, angiograms, and catheterizations), and blood tests.
    • ED Provider Supply: calculated as the number of professionals (e.g.: physicians, nurse practitioners, and physician assistants) who were actively treating patients within one hour of their registration time, and expressed per 10 regularly used ED treatment areas.

1.3 - Output Factors

    Output factors define the number of patients waiting for hospital admission and factors affecting hospital capacity. Most literature on ED wait times focus on these factors. For more information, see Arkun et al.,2010; Fatovich, Nagree, & Sprivulis, 2005; Lucas et al., 2009; Rathlev et al., 2007; Rathlev et al., 2012; Vermeulen et al., 2009; White et al., 2013; Wiler et al., 2012; Ye et al., 2012 in the References section below. In Doupe et al., the output factors included:

    • Number of patients placed on hold: ED patients can be placed on hold at any time during their visit for a number of reasons, mainly to ensure that they are stabilized or to confirm their diagnosis and follow-up care plan.
    • Number of patients admitted to hospital.
    • Number of patients waiting to be admitted to hospital: derived from the percentage of ED visits where patients were admitted to hospital

1.4 - Additional Factors Based on ED Physical Capacity in Regularly Used Treatment Areas

    Median operating capacity, daily patient turnover rates and ED provider supply across ED sites were compared. This provided context for how and/or why ED sites are characterized by input, throughput and output factors. The above three factors were calculated based on ED physical capacity in regularly used treatment areas.

    Methods:

    Doupe et al. (2017) devised a method to express certain results as a percentage of ED physical capacity. This provides a measure of how full EDs were and facilitates fair comparisons (for instance, one can compare waiting room times across sites at a given time when all EDs were at 30% physical capacity).

    At each ED site, ED physical capacity was calculated at regularly used treatment areas - locations where patients receive care, such as beds, resuscitation rooms, minor treatment areas and suture rooms. To be defined as a regularly used treatment area each site must have:

    • been listed as a permanent ED location in EDIS (omitting triage and waiting room areas, and ambulance drop off locations);
    • been used regularly (at least 150 days) during the study period, for an average minimum of four hours during these days of use; and
    • had at least 60% of the total time allocated to the site having been marked as ‘treatment in progress’ in EDIS.

    These criteria omit ED locations that are considered internal waiting rooms, but include other locations (e.g.: designated hallway locations at the Grace, minor treatment areas and suture rooms at most sites) besides traditional ED beds.

    The following factors were calculated using the ED capacity measure within regularly used treatment areas:

    • Median ED operating capacities: a measure of how full EDs were at a given time, created by counting the number of existing ED patients present when a new patient showed up, and expressing this as a percent of regularly used treatment areas.
    • Daily patient turnover rates: a ratio of the number of visits between the hours of 8:00 a.m. and 8 p.m. daily to the total number of regularly used treatment areas (i.e. the number of patients cared for daily per treatment area).
    • ED provider supply: a throughput factor as defined above.

1.5 - Findings / Results

    The following are some selected findings / results from the research. For more complete information, please click on the hyperlinks provided.

      Input Factors:

      • Winnipeg EDs are used disproportionally by socially disadvantaged individuals, and often for less urgent reasons (higher acuity). See Figures 5.1-5.5 for more information on input factors characterizing Winnipeg adult ED sites.

      Throughput Factors:

      • Diagnostic tests were conducted during 52% of ED visits, but certain tests (e.g.: x-rays, urine tests, CT scans) were performed with varying frequency across ED sites. See Figures 5.6-5.9 for more detailed information.
      • ED Provider supply was greatest at St. Boniface and lowest at the Grace and the Victoria. See Figure 5.10 for a comparison of ED provider supply across ED sites.

      Output Factors:

      • Numbers of patients placed on hold and waiting for admission into hospital varied considerably across ED sites. See Figures 5.11-5.12 for a more detailed description.
      • Operating Capacity and Visit Turnover Rates: a description of unique features of each adult ED site is provided in the Chapter 5: Chapter Highlights section of the report. The Grace had the highest operating capacity but the lowest patient turnover rate).
      • Refer to Table 5.1 for a comparison of numbers of ED visits and regularly used treatment areas, operating capacity, and daily turnover rate across ED sites.

2. Factors Influencing Waiting Room Times: All ED Sites Combined

2.1 - ED Visit Duration

    Different ED visit components were identified and defined, and their durations calculated using data from the six ED sites combined. ED visits were separated into four distinct, time-related components: 1) waiting room, 2) treatment area, 3) treatment, and 4) post-treatment.

    Quantile regression was used to analyze data on the impact of each of the four ED wait time components on total wait time at each Winnipeg ED site. Results of this analysis are presented in section 2.5 of this concept - ED Visit Duration.

2.2 - Determinants of Waiting Room Times

    Waiting room time was selected as a specific component of ED visits for which median duration was calculated. Subsequently, determinants of median waiting room time were investigated in terms of select input, throughput and output factors.

    The ED Visit Summary Score of Index-Existing Visits section of this concept describes how this was done (identifying characteristics of existing visits, calculating an ED visit summary score, and creating subsequent input, throughput and output factors). Results of this analysis are presented in section 2.5 of this concept - Determinants of Waiting Room Time.

2.3 - Index-Existing Visit Methodology

    Duration for each of the four ED visit components (waiting room, treatment area, treatment, and post-treatment) and determinants of median waiting room times were calculated using a summarized dataset in which each index visit is linked to a set of existing visits.

    To link existing and index ED visits, each index visit had to be defined by three related time components: registration time, a 30-minute "preparation" period preceding this time (the average time required to prepare a treatment area for a new patient), and waiting room time. This period of three time components is referred to as Period A.

    Existing visits were then linked to each index visit using the following rules:

    • Existing visits that commenced prior to Period A were linked to an index visit if they were either completed during or after this period
    • Existing visits that commenced during Period A were linked to an index visit only if the existing visit was triaged as being more urgent using CTAS (if the existing visit was of higher acuity than the index visit). This reflects CTAS queuing strategies, where more acutely ill patients (e.g., CTAS 2) would normally get priority treatment over people who are less acutely ill (CTAS 5).
    • Existing visits that were completed either prior to or started after Period A were not linked to an index visit.

    For a detailed description and schematic of the process of linking existing visits to index visits, see the Chapter-specific methods section in the report.

2.4 - ED Visit Summary Score of Index-Existing Visits

    Existing and index visits were linked to describe determinants of median waiting room times in terms of how ED wait times were influenced by risk factors. Risk factors were created from characteristics of each set of existing visits (i.e. by defining how many of these existing patients were waiting for diagnostic tests or hospital admission).

    Existing patients were described by the following characteristics:

    1. In-patient visit: if their boarding time (time between the decision to hospitalize a patient and their actual admission time) overlapped with Period A
    2. ED-hold patient visit: if their ED-hold time (the time at which a patient was put on hold) overlapped with Period A.
    3. Order time of diagnostic and blood troponin tests: the starting time of physician treatment was used as a surrogate for these order times.
    4. Diagnostic tests: existing patients were labeled as having had a diagnostic test if their ‘wait time’ for this test overlapped with the index visit Period A (to ensure that throughput and output factors are measured similarly for modeling results, and in the absence of a true order time, provides a conservative result for these tests).

    A summary score was then created for each set of existing visits linked to an index visit, based on combining the existing visits' characteristics. This score was expressed as a proportion of the number of regularly used ED treatment areas to facilitate fair comparisons across ED sites.

    The following variables were then created from the summary scores:

    • Input Factors: patient arrival characteristics. In terms of CTAS level, existing visits with a CTAS score of 1-3 were counted separately, while counts of CTAS 4&5 existing visits were combined
    • Throughput Factors: diagnostic tests. Sixteen diagnostic tests were grouped to help simplify analyses, as follows:
      • Complex test: MRIs, nuclear medicine tests, ultrasounds, cerebral spinal tests, and cardiovascular tests were combined into this single group; and
      • X-rays, urine tests, computed tomography tests, and troponin blood tests: each of these were analyzed separately
    • Output Factors: existing visits defined by ED-hold and in-patient status.

    Determinants of waiting room times were then calculated using quantile regression techniques and, if statistically significant, second order/curvilinear estimates. The latter depicts the change in median waiting room time (in minutes) for every one percent increase in ED capacity of existing visits. These methods show the strength of influence of each set of input, throughput and output factors on median waiting room times (comparing adjusted slopes of these lines helps determine the relative importance of the factors).

    For more information on statistical methods used, see page 52 in Chapter 6 of the report.

2.5 - Findings / Results

    The following are some selected findings / results from the research. For more complete information, please click on the hyperlinks provided.

      ED Visit Durations:

      • Median total duration of daytime visits was 5.1 hours (306 minutes), varying greatly by CTAS level (longest duration for lowest acuity). For more information on the distribution of ED visit duration overall and by CTAS level, see Figure 6.2 in the report.
      • Each component of ED visit duration varied substantially by CTAS level (e.g.: urgent visits had shorter wait times followed by longer treatment and post-treatment durations).
      • For more information on the distribution of ED visit components on duration by different CTAS levels, see Figures 6.3-6.6 in the report.

      Determinants of Waiting Room Time:

      • The effects of input, throughput and output factors on adjusted median CTAS 1, 2, 3, 4/5 waiting room times are presented. For instance, no set of input, throughput or output factors strongly influenced CTAS 1 waiting room times (highest acuity patients were consistently seen by a provider almost immediately). In contrast, CTAS 2 waiting room times were influenced by higher volumes of output and throughput factors (i.e. volume of patients waiting to be admitted, and volume waiting for diagnostic tests).
      • For more information on the effect of input, throughput and output factors on median wait room times by different CTAS scores, see Figures 6.7-6.10 in the report.

      Determinants of Waiting Room Time - Adjusted Effect of Input and Output Factors Only

      • One set of analyses omitted the influence of throughput factors. This was done to examine if the unique strategy of linking existing to index visits biased study results, and to compare results to results of a model that includes (adjusts) for throughput factors.
      • Not adjusting for effects of diagnostic tests increased adjusted median CTAS 2 waiting room times dramatically when EDs were fuller with patients waiting to be hospitalized. This was consistent with academic literature.
      • For more complete information, see the section Additional Analyses on page 61 in the report.
      • Accordingly, study results were not biased by the index-existing visit strategy, and much of the academic literature is at least somewhat confounded (effect of wait times attributed to output factors may be instead at least partially due to throughput factors).

      For a general overview of the findings / results on the factors influencing waiting room time for all ED sites combined, see Chapter 6: Chapter Highlights in the report.

2.6 - Additional Analyses: Hospital Capacity on ED Boarding Time

    The research by Doupe et al. (2017) also investigated the relationships between ED boarding time with overall hospital capacity and with the proportion of hospital beds filled with alternate level of care (ALC) patients.

    At the time of decision to admit patients into hospital in the daytime (8:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.), the Hospital Abstracts data were reviewed to identify:

    • Hospital capacity: the number of hospital in-patients, expressed as a proportion of total known hospital beds.
      NOTE: Doupe et al. (2017) acknowledge that capacity of hospital beds to accept ED patients was overestimated. In the Hospital Abstract File, counts of hospital beds are only available in aggregate form. This means the number of hospital beds normally unavailable to ED patients cannot be identified, nor can currently hospitalized patients be linked to these beds.

    • Proportion of hospital beds housing alternate level of care (ALC) patients: the proportion of beds occupied by those who are no longer acutely ill and could be discharged from hospital.

    Results

    Results on the associations between ED boarding times and inpatient or ALC hospital capacity were expressed as the increase in ED patients’ median boarding time (in minutes) for every 1% increase in hospital capacity, or for every 1% increase in hospital ALC capacity.

    ED boarding times were weakly associated with both hospital occupancy and the proportion of hospital beds occupied by ALC patients. Therefore, to the extent that output factors influence ED waiting times, Doupe et al. (2017) state that it is unlikely that challenges with transitioning ED patients are caused by (and can be corrected by improving) a lack of hospital capacity alone. For more information on boarding times, see Figures 6.13-6.14 in the report.

3. Comparison of Waiting Room Times Across Adult ED Sites in Winnipeg

3.1 - Methods

    Exclusion criteria, strategies for linking existing to index visits, and summary scores as measures of risk factors are identical to those described in the previous Factors Influencing Waiting Room Times: All ED Sites Combined section.

    Quantile regression models also contain the same set of input, throughput, and output factors used in the previous section. However, to compare the effect of risk factors on waiting room times across ED sites, this section used a unique statistical method of adding interaction terms to each model. This was done by creating a series of different models with all main effect variables plus an interaction term between one variable and ED site. As a result, differences in factors at ED sites (i.e. different volumes of patients, numbers of diagnostic tests performed, or numbers of patients admitted into hospital) are accounted for.

    Results were ensured to be based on regularly occurring events due to curtailing line lengths (representing percent capacity) for each ED site when under 75 observations were reported.

3.2 - Results

Major Study Conclusions (Policy Implications and Future Directions)

Related concepts 

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References